A quick test using the factory air box and a sensitive vacuum gauge in the intake tract might answer your question. As long as you're seeing less than 15" water column you should be fine.

15" of water sounds like a lot, and that is half a psi, im not sure what would be an appropriate amount tho.
my only suggestion would be to try the stock air box from a vehicle that has at least 200hp stock, which shouldn't be hard to find by browsing through a junkyard
I like the hoses....
GB
. I tell em they're wrapped with 20 dollar bills and painted blue 
i wasnt refering to stock vanagon airbox,my mistake.
was talking the golf ones.
seen many people running tdi engines on mk2 shells with above 200hp using OEM airboxes(to avoid problem with police),i am running a vnt2052 at 1.5bar with passat airbox(just removed the snorkel as it was smaller diameter) and -not as a good example because its a gas engine- i run stock airbox with my golf g60 and i am hitting above 180hp.
stock golf limited was 210hp from factory and used same box.(equal to late TD ones,just different locations on exit holes).
how can we check if airbox is becoming a problem?
i see high HP buils using stock airbox(the larger,square one), why do you think it may not flow enough?Interesting thought, maybe I should have kept the 1.6 exhaust as well
Kidding aside, typically automotive engineers who design stuff like this don't design them for three times the capacity required - just a guess though.
I ran a quick calc (keep in mind, I am math challenged) and came up with 322 CFM for my engine at 3200 RPM @20 psi. In comparison, the 1.6 NA runs about 90.4 CFM@ 3200.
Granted the numbers are rough, but that's nearly a 256% increase in air volume over the stock engine.
A stock 2.1 gasser vanagon intake box (as you suggested) would be designed to flow approximately 119 CFM @ 3200 - still 170% less than required for my engine.
If anyone want's to take a stab how many CFM's I may be running at 20 PSI/3200 RPM, that would be very interesting. Turbo is an HE200, medium head porting and short 2-1/2" exhaust.
i see high HP buils using stock airbox(the larger,square one), why do you think it may not flow enough?Interesting thought, maybe I should have kept the 1.6 exhaust as well
Kidding aside, typically automotive engineers who design stuff like this don't design them for three times the capacity required - just a guess though.
I ran a quick calc (keep in mind, I am math challenged) and came up with 322 CFM for my engine at 3200 RPM @20 psi. In comparison, the 1.6 NA runs about 90.4 CFM@ 3200.
Granted the numbers are rough, but that's nearly a 256% increase in air volume over the stock engine.
A stock 2.1 gasser vanagon intake box (as you suggested) would be designed to flow approximately 119 CFM @ 3200 - still 170% less than required for my engine.
If anyone want's to take a stab how many CFM's I may be running at 20 PSI/3200 RPM, that would be very interesting. Turbo is an HE200, medium head porting and short 2-1/2" exhaust.
I might be wrong, but have you overestimated the extra air gained by 20 psi?
If n/a air is at 14.7psi, and true pressure is atmos + reading, ie 34.7psi, I make that 90.4 x 34.7/14.7, or 213cfm...
What I did, with the 4" wrinkly drier duct and rattle trap on the can seems to have brought things under control.
Now all I can hear is the cabinet doors rattling